US session flows is underpricing basis compression
The healthier setup is alignment: US session flows improving while macro liquidity stays orderly.
Liquidity still decides how far any catalyst can travel.
Put beside current chatter on “Lombard Systems Raises $4M to Make Tokenized Assets Easier to Borrow Against,” the incentive problem looks clearer.
A clean chart can hide a crowded trade.
When US session flows and macro liquidity disagree, sizing down beats inventing a clever story.
Keeping a written thesis helps avoid narrative whiplash.
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